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Saturday, June 7, 2008

Pitching, Prospects, and Pain; Injury Notes and Other News of the Week

Brewers' SP Manny Parra has gotten on a little bit of a roll lately. He was one of the big stories coming out of Spring Training, but immediately fell on his face when the season started. But the young fireballer has gotten his groove back, and has won three of his last four decisions. In fact, Parra has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last five starts. He is worth a look in all formats, and definitely grab the 25-year old in keeper formats.

Don't give up on Yankees' pitcher Joba Chamberlain after one horrible start. The Yankees put him on a very public pitch count and the Blue Jays took advantage by working the count, drawing four walks, and getting him out of the game in the third inning. Joba does have a ton of talent, and although I can’t say for sure that he will be a dominant starter, he has the tools needed to be successful.

Zach Greinke has had a couple of shaky outings now, and I believe that he will end up with a record under .500 by the end of the season. In two of his last three starts, Zach has given up six or more runs. His record still looks good, so I would try to sell high on him before it is too late.

Prospect News

Carlos Gonzalez was called up by the A's, and even though he is struggling so far, he is a big time prospect. Gonzalez was one of the main pieces that brought Dan Haren to Arizona, and if he sticks in the majors he is worth adding. In fact, if you are in a keeper league, and somehow he isn’t owned already definitely pick him up. Gonzalez has 25 HR/20 SB capabilities, and is one of the top 15-20 prospects in baseball.

The Rockies' Ian Stewart was in the competition for the 2B job in Spring Training, which he didn’t win, but with the injuries in Colorado he is getting a second chance. Stewart has huge offensive potential. He had 12 homers and 43 RBI in just 46 games at AAA this season, and if he gets this job for the season in Colorado, he could be a huge sleeper for the second half.

Homer Bailey made his first start of the season in the majors on Thursday, and although it wasn't great, it wasn’t horrible either. The Reds committed three errors, and of the five runs he allowed, only two were earned. However, he did walk four batters in 6.1 innings and only struck out one. I am starting to lose faith in Bailey as a top prospect, but you have to keep an eye on him, as he has the talent to be a great pitcher. But, will he ever put it all together? I'm not sure anymore.

Injury Notes

John Smoltz will be having season ending, and perhaps career ending, surgery by Dr. James Andrews. It is time to let go of Smoltz in all formats, yearly and keepers. We thought we would get a cheap source of saves from Smoltz when he returned from the DL, but after one outing he called it a season.

Jacoby Ellsbury injured his wrist diving for a ball Thursday night, and although the x-rays came back negative and the MRI came back clean, he is still day-to-day. Keep the young speedster on your bench until you see that he is back in the lineup. Ellsbury has shown to be quite a source of steals for fantasy teams as he leads the majors in steals. In his absence, is Carlos Gomez or Michael Bourn available? They won't fill all the categories, but could replace some of Ellsbury's SBs.

Carlos Pena will miss the next two to three weeks with a broken finger after being hit by a pitch by the Red Sox Justin Masterson. Pena has been a major disappointment after his breakout season in 2007, but he had been at least to start providing some power with his 11 HRs. Eric Hinske will most likely see some at-bats at first.

Jorge Posada finally returned to the Yankee lineup on Thursday night after missing over a month with tendonitis in his rotator cuff. His injury was a crushing blow to not only the Yankees, but to fantasy teams as well. Have you looked at your free agent pool for catchers lately? It isn’t pretty I’m sure. Those who have Posada, happily put him back into your lineup.

After spending a week on the bench the Nationals finally put Ryan Zimmerman on the Disabled List, and it is unsure how long he will be out. Zimmerman has a small tear in his shoulder, and this is the kind of injury that has a way of lingering. It is conceivable that Zimmerman could be out until the All-Star Break, but this kind of injury could hinder his performance all season long. He was a disappointment this season to begin with, but if you own Zimmerman you have to stash him on your injury spot, he is too talented to drop.

Reigning Cy Young Award winner Jake Peavy is very close to a return to the mound. Peavy threw 45 pitches from a mound on Wednesday and is due to throw either a minor league game or simulated game on Saturday. Peavy said he will pitch in the majors before the end of the current homestand which ends on June 12th, so be ready to activate the ace when he is ready to pitch. Those who don’t own Peavy, see if you might be able to get him cheap before he returns.

Vernon Wells is well ahead of his schedule of returning from a broken wrist, in fact he entered the game on Saturday as a pinch hitter and went 2-3 with an RBI. It is now safe to get Vernon back in your lineup. However, I offer you this word of caution. Broken wrists have a way of lingering with a player and sapping his power long after he returns from the disabled list. Keep your expectations in check for Vernon and you won't be disappointed.

Rockies’ MVP Matt Holliday is very close to a return, in fact he is already on a rehab assignment. Friday night Holliday was 0-2 in a game for Colorado Springs and he should be activated in time for Tuesday’s game against the Giants. Those of you (and I) who own Holliday, begin your dance of joy as you get to put your first round pick back into your lineup. Perhaps with Holliday’s imminent return, and the return of Brad Hawpe, the Rockies can get back on track on their mission to defend their National League Championship.

Breakout candidate Ryan Doumit returned to the Pirates’ lineup on Friday, and although he didn’t get a hit, it is nice to get another catcher into the game who can actually hit. If you have a garbage catcher and he was dropped, give Doumit a chance. He has the potential to hit 20+ homers from a position that is crying out for offensive production.

Check out fightingchancefantasy.com for more news and notes daily as well as two start pitchers, minor league stats, and other great lists and fun things. If you have any questions, email us at fightingchancefantasy@gmail.com.

Thursday, June 5, 2008

Derek Anderson - One Year Wonder or New Star?

Team: Cleveland Browns
Position: Quarterback
Height: 6-6
Weight: 230 lbs
Born: 06-15-83
Experience: 4th season

Career:Derek Anderson was originally selected by the Baltimore Ravens in the sixth round of the 2005 NFL Draft but was waived in his first season and was claimed by the Cleveland Browns. Anderson was a three year starter at Oregon State and played with star running back Steven Jackson, now of the St. Louis Rams. Anderson led his team to three straight bowl games including a win against Brady Quinn’s Notre Dame Fighting Irish at the 2004 Insight Bowl. Anderson saw his first serious action in the NFL in his second season when Charlie Frye went down with a wrist injury in week 13. He went on to start the next three games but threw four interceptions in week 16 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Charlie Frye returned for the final game. In 2007, it was an interesting battle in camp between Charlie Frye, Derek Anderson and first round pick Brady Quinn but Frye prevailed and started the season opener. Frye threw one interception and was sacked five times in the first 20 minutes of the game so Anderson came in and never looked back. He solidified his starting job in the next game when he threw for over 300 yards and 5 touchdowns and led the Browns to a 51-45 win over the Bengals. Anderson made a well-deserved first trip to the Pro Bowl after a breakout season but it remains to be seen if he can continue to perform at such a high level.Supporting Cast:The Cleveland Browns made big moves in the 2007 off-season by drafting LT Joe Thomas and acquiring LG Eric Steinbach as a free agent. The Browns offensive line was one of the best in the NFL last season and will return all five starters this season. The line should continue improving as it builds chemistry and the possible return of LeCharles Bentley could also help. The only concern for this line is that it does not have much depth at the tackle position and will struggle if either Thomas or Shaffer were to be injured. At wide receiver, the Browns have one of the best young receivers in the league in Braylon Edwards and also signed Donte Stallworth as a free agent from the New England Patriots. Stallworth has had an up and down career but has great speed and will help stretch defenses. Joe Jurevicius had surgery to cleanup his knee in May but should be ready for training camp and provide good depth at wide receiver in 2008. Tight End Kellen Winslow Jr has led the team in receptions for the past two seasons but he also had surgery to cleanup his knee in the off-season. Winslow should however be ready for training camp and will likely benefit from the addition of Stallworth as safeties will have to stay deep more often than not. Jamal Lewis will remain the starting running back and although he is getting old, he still does an adequate job as a starter with Jason Wright as his main backup. Overall, the Browns will have the same offense as in 2007 with Donte Stallworth as an upgrade at wide receiver but everyone stayed healthy in 2007 which may not be the case again this season.Job Security:Derek Anderson will be the starter in 2008 after signing a three-year contract in the off-season but he will have to continue performing at a high level or there could be some controversy in Cleveland. 2007 first round pick Brady Quinn saw very little action last year but after having a full-year to learn the system should be ready to step in if Anderson struggles. Fantasy Outlook:Last season, Derek Anderson went un-drafted in most leagues but finished the season as the fifth best quarterback in fantasy football. The offense now has more depth than last year but we have yet to see how they can deal with injuries so there are still some question marks even with all starters returning. Historically, quarterbacks who breakout at a young age continue to perform at a high level in the next season like Aaron Brooks did in 2002 and Marc Bulger in 2004. Seven of the twelve quarterbacks who broke out like Anderson decreased somewhere between one and ten percent in the next season which would still make Anderson a top ten quarterback. Three of those twelve did improve even more in their next season and the addition of Stallworth leads us to believe that Anderson could join that group. If everyone stays healthy, he showed last season that he has the talent to be a top five quarterback and could be looking at close to 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns this season. His three touchdown runs were a bit of an anomaly last season and that number will likely drop in 2008. Overall, Anderson is a medium reward player with potential to join the top four quarterbacks but also has medium risk because injuries will happen sooner or later to this offense.
Ultimate FF Strategy Full Quarterback Rankings
posted by Ultimate FF Strategy at 1:43 PM on Jun 4, 2008

Wednesday, June 4, 2008

No Power Signal at U.S. Cellular Field?

No Power Signal at U.S. Cellular Field?
It's no secret that Jermaine Dye, Nick Swisher, Paul Konerko, Joe Crede and Jim Thome aren't getting it done.
Jermaine Dye has a respectable batting average at .286, but he has just 23 RBI and nearly 3 strikeouts to every walk.
Joe Crede has the most RBI of the quintet with 29, but 22 of those came during his red-hot April.
Jim Thome has at least managed double-digit homeruns with 10, but his .212 average and team-high 56 strikeouts leave something to be desired.
Paul Konerko is hitting .205 with just 6 HR.
Nick Swisher is the most consistent of the group. He's consistently terrible in every category, batting .201 with 4 HR and 14 RBI.
Now what most people don't realize is that the White Sox played 20 games on the road in May, but they return to their hitter friendly confines for 17 games in June. They will host Kansas City, Minnesota, Colorado, Pittsburgh and their cross-town rivals from Wrigley.
They'll not only be in one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball, but they'll also be facing tougher pitching in batting practice than they will in most of the games.
Kansas City's best hope was Zach Grienke and the Sox tagged him for 8 run in 6 innings in their first home tilt of the month. The next two scheduled starters for KC are Luke Hochevar and Gil Meche. Each pitcher has an ERA close to 5 or worse.
Minnesota will bring a very suspect pitching staff to town. The Twins haven't been able to recover since losing Johan Santana via trade and Francisco Liriano to injury. Livan Hernandez(4.81 ERA) and Boof Bonser(5.97 ERA) will likely get starts.
The Rockies staff isn't going to scare anyone either. Aaron Cook has been solid this year, but the rest of the guys with 2 or more starts range from a 5.37 to an 8.44 ERA.
When the Pirates come to town, they'll start the likes of Zach Duke(4.41 ERA), Paul Maholm(4.97 ERA), Ian Snell(5.94 ERA) and Tom Gorzelanny(7.22 ERA).
The only real test will be from the Cubs, but if they don't happen to face Carlos Zambrano or Ryan Dempster, they'll see Jason Marquis(4.98 ERA) or Ted Lilly(5.54 ERA).
There's no place like home and by the end of June, the Chicago White Sox will have shown everyone exactly why that is true.
Article from www.letsgodeep.com

Tuesday, June 3, 2008

The Baseball Consigliere's Monthly Report

Take it Deep: www.letsgodeep.com


Consigliere’s Monthly Report (May)
Each month, I’ll break down which of our pool players get the credit for their team leading the division and which players get the blame for their team being in the basement.
AL East
First Place: Tamp Bay Rays
Carlos Pena has regressed from last year, but with 10 HR, 32 RBI and 26 runs, he’s still been solid. BJ Upton only has 3 HR to his credit, but he’s been great in every other area. He has a .305 average, 34 RBI, 32 runs and 17 SB.
Last Place: Baltimore Orioles
All of the blame can’t fall squarely on Nick Markakis, but most of it can. He’s hit 9 HR which puts him on pace to set a career high, but he’s batting just .263 with nearly a strikeout per game. At this rate, he’ll end up about 40 RBI shy of last year’s total.
AL Central
First Place: Chicago White Sox
Nick Swisher, Paul Konerko and Jim Thome have all been average at best. Joe Crede’s .264 average is amazing compared to the other 3 and his 9 HR and 29 RBI look decent, until you realize that he had 2 HR and 7 RBI for the month of May. It’s clear that our pool players aren’t the reason for the Sox success.
Last Place: Kansas City Royals
Alex Gordon improved a bit in May and carries a .280 average with 5 HR, 25 RBI and 32 runs. Those are nice numbers for a contributor, but Gordon has to play like a superstar if the Royals are ever going to win.
AL West
First Place: Los Angeles Angels
Vlad Guererro, Torii Hunter and Gary Matthews Jr all have very similar numbers. They average about 6 HR, 27 RBI and 27 runs each. Hunter has the best average at .275, but this team is fortunate to be in first with Vlad not hitting like we’ve all come to expect.
Last Place: Seattle Mariners
Adrian Beltre has nothing to brag about with a .244 average, but it’s great compared to the .204 of Richie Sexson. Sexson, who spends most of his time lately riding the pine, only has 18 runs on the year. Even more concerning is the fact that 9 of those 18 have come off his homeruns.
NL East
First Place: Florida Marlins
Last month, I said, “When you look at the Marlins, you don’t have to look any further than superstar shortstop Hanley Ramirez.” While this still holds true, it’s now a 2-man show in Florida. Ramirez is batting .292 with 9 HR, 23 RBI, 44 runs and 13 SB. Dan Uggla has emerged as the star of May though. Uggla is batting .297 with 16 HR, 38 RBI and 43 runs.
Last Place: Washington Nationals
Zimmerman’s May was slightly better than his April, but now he’s been out for the last 8 games with a shoulder injury. The Nats are in trouble.
NL Central
First Place: Chicago Cubs
Last month at this time, Alfonso Soriano was on the DL and Aramis Ramirez and Derrek Lee were picking up the slack. It’s now a 3-headed monster, as they have combined for 35 HR, 112 RBI and 111 runs!
Last Place: Pittsburgh Pirates
Adam LaRoche(April)- 1 HR, 5 RBI, 6 Runs
Adam LaRoche(May)- 5 HR, 19 RBI, 14 Runs
As you can see, LaRoche has rebounded and Jason Bay is batting .296 with 13 HR, 29 RBI and 43 runs. As a team, the Pirates just aren’t good.
NL West
First Place: Arizona Diamondbacks
Chris Young has now topped Justin Upton is every category but average. Young has 4 more HR, 4 more RBI, 10 more runs and 3 more SB. If the D-Backs want to stay in first, they need “The Franchise” to step it up a notch.
Last Place: Colorado Rockies
Troy Tulowitzki – Currently on the DL
Matt Holliday – Currently on the DL
Brad Hawpe - Currently on the DL

He's not Bruce Almighty...He's Bruce "Lee Roy"

Take IT Deep: http://www.letsgodeep.com/
Ever since ESPN has tabbed Jay Bruce as Bruce almighty; this nickname has spread across the networks, newspapers & internet like wildfire! Has everyone forgotten about another Bruce that was one of the biggest bad asses on the silver screen in the 1980's?If you've seen the cult classic The Last Dragon by Barry Gordy, you know what I'm talking about! He's the baddest Bruce I've ever known (Yes, even badder than Bruce Lee) because he was the coolest karate chopping Mo Fo I've ever known! How many dudes do you know that could use their aurora & Afro to completely dominate & strike fear into their opponent? Maybe Bruce Lee Roy has shown Jay Bruce the ways of the dragon & how to connect with his inner Chi to funnel that energy into his big bat these day ;)Anyways, rent the movie if you haven't seen it & I hope you enjoy this story not about Bruce Almighty, but.......The New Bruce "Lee Roy"The Reds didn't seem to be headed in the right direction when they traded away Josh Hamilton and signed Corey Patterson. Why wouldn't you just bring up Jay Bruce to play CF? Probably for the same reason that Joey Votto had to wait patiently while Scott Hatteberg wasted plate appearances. Dusty Baker loves his vets. If you're a rookie and want to get your chance, you have to make it impossible for you to stay in the minors. Jay Bruce did exactly that. Through 49 games at Louisville, Bruce was batting .364 with 34 runs, 9 doubles, 3 triples, 10 HR and 8 SB. The one knock on Bruce has always been his high strikeout rate, which showed in Louisville(12 BB/ 45 K) and that's exactly the reason that the Reds kept using as a reason to leave him in Triple-A. When rumors started to heat up that Ken Griffey Jr would be traded back to Seattle and that Adam Dunn might be on the market, it seemed that Bruce's time was coming. After Bruce had a 10 game stretch where he batted .611, including 3 HR in his last 17 at bats; the Reds couldn't ignore him anymore. Cincinnati officially made the call up on May 27th when they designated Hatteberg for assignment and Bruce has been something out of **** tale ever since. He made his debut against the Pittsburgh Pirates and collected 3 hits, 2 walks, 2 runs, 2 RBI and 1 SB. In the 6 games since his call up, he's batting .591 with 2 HR, 6 RBI, 10 runs and 2 SB. He also notched his first career walk-off HR in a win over Atlanta. Oh, and as for his one flaw... he has 6 walks and just 1 strikeout so far.
Take It Deep: www.letsgodeep.com

Monday, June 2, 2008

MLB Inury Report 6/1/2008

Take it Deep: Letsgodeep.com


Injury Report 6-1-08
Hank Blalock
Blalock’s latest injury(wrist) required surgery and he’ll be out 2-4 weeks.
David Ortiz
Ortiz is out of the lineup with a wrist strain. He’s currently day-to-day.
Matt Holliday
Holliday is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment on Thursday and return from the DL on June 10.
Eric Byrnes
Byrnes is on the DL with micro tears in both hamstrings and he’ll probably be out at least another 2 weeks.
Ryan Zimmerman
Zimmerman is out of the lineup with a shoulder problem. He’ll likely receive an MRI early in the week.
Brad Hawpe
If rehab goes well, Hawpe will return from the DL late this week.
Frank Thomas
An MRI revealed quad inflammation and the A’s have placed The Big Hurt on the DL.
Travis Hafner
Hafner’s shoulder injury has landed him on the DL.

Sunday, June 1, 2008

Fantasy Baseball Waiver Candy - 6/1


June 1st, 2008 JunkyardJake.Com



Jason Bergmann, Washington Nationals, SP

Sometimes a trip to minors doesn't help a young player, and then there are cases like Jason Bergmann where the tedious bus trips and bad dining evidently rejuvenates your ability to pitch strikes and avoid 7 run innings. Bergmann was a disaster in April, as he compiled an ugly 11.68 ERA, 1.78 WHIP and opponents batted .364 against him. After returning from his banishment to the minor leagues, he has been a completely different pitcher, with a 1.30 ERA, .90 WHIP and BAA of .190 during his May appearances.

Available in 70% of all CBSSportsline leagues.


Ian Stewart, Colorado Rockies, 2B,3B

There is reason to believe that Stewart isn't quite as good as his minor league stats would suggest, and that is because he has benefited from the fluffy, friendly environs of Colorado. Specifically in 2007, he hit .357 at home w/ 9 HRs, and only .251 on the road w/ 6 HRs. Still, he has shown enough this year at the AAA level to like him alot, with 12 HRs and 43 RBIs in only 46 games. He is considered a 3rd baseman, but the Rockies say they are going to give him a look at 2nd base. His value would explode if he gets eligibility and regular playing time at 2nd base, so this is a situation worth watching.

Available in 71% of all CBSSportsline leagues.


Salomon Torres, Milwaukee Brewers, RP

Apparently, many fantasy owners were so exasperated by the 'insane clown posse' Milwaukee closer situation during the early season, that when psycho manager Ned Yost finally started using Torres on a consistent basis over the past week, nobody really cared anymore. Torres has been the regular closer since Eric Gagne went on the D.L., and in five appearances since May 24th, he has 4 saves, and has yielded just one hit. Who knows what happens when Gagne returns, and maybe Prince Fielder gets a shot at closing games at some point, but Torres could be the guy until he blows it.

Available in 60% of all CBSSportsline leagues.


Jack Cust, Oakland A's, DH,OF

He is not going to help you in the batting average category, and although there is nobody that formally keeps track of it, he probably leads the league in strikeouts during batting practice (He strikes out once per approximately 2.5 at-bats during actual games). However, you can’t deny his power potential, and that is obviously where his value lies. After only 1 HR in April, he blasted 7 during May, so he could be ready to deliver on his potential, which is anywhere between 25 and 40 HRs per year, depending on how many hot streaks he can ride.

Available in 61% of all CBSSportsline leagues.


Jonathan Sanchez, San Francisco Giants, SP

After an excellent April, where Sanchez struck out 40 in 33 innings, and held opposing batters to a .218 average, the young lefty has regressed slightly. In May (5 starts, 5.20 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, .274 BAA) he was much less impressive, or occasionally appalling if you want to be honestly insulting about it. That said, in the absence of a complete meltdown, it is worth sticking with Sanchez. He has great movement on his two primary pitches, a 90-95 mph fastball and changeup, and he is a legitimate strikeout pitcher who averaged 1.3 K’s per inning during his minor league career.

Available in 43% of all CBSSportsline leagues.


Other Players To Consider:
Carlos Gonzalez,Oakland A's,OF
Available in 83% of all CBSSportsline leagues.

Chase Headley,San Diego Padres,3B,OF
Available in 84% of all CBSSportsline leagues.

Ben Francisco,Cleveland Indians,OF
Available in 76% of all CBSSportsline leagues.

Pedro Martinez,NY Mets,SP
Available in 49% of all CBSSportsline leagues.

Andrew Miller,Florida Marlins,SP
Available in 39% of all CBSSportsline leagues.